How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Boca Juniors Res., at 56.3%. The other outcomes represent 43.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.3% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 56.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Defensa y Justicia Res. 1491; Boca Juniors Res. 1685. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 18:00
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Elo 1491
vs
Boca Juniors Res.
Elo 1685
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-194
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Defensa y Justicia Res.1491
Boca Juniors Res.1685
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Defensa y Justicia Res.
0Draws
2Boca Juniors Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
22%
Away
56%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
17%
Draw
44%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.