Valenciennes vs Orleans

Ligue 3 · Thursday, 05 Nov 2026 · 19:45

◎1.4M+Historical matches analysed
◎900+Leagues worldwide
▦14Prediction markets
◇IAMachine learning models

Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Valenciennes, at 44.6%. The other outcomes represent 55.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 44.6% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 28.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Valenciennes 1669; Orleans 1711. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Ligue 3 · Thursday, Nov 5 2026 · 19:45
Valenciennes
Elo 1669
vs
Orleans
Elo 1711
Home Form (5)
0W 4D 1L
Away Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Elo Advantage
-42

Elo rating comparison

Valenciennes1669
Orleans1711

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Valenciennes
—Draws
—Orleans

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
27%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
41%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

Learn more →

Recent results

Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.

Learn more →

Verified performance

Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.

Learn more →
Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.