How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sturm Graz, at 53.1%. The other outcomes represent 46.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.1% · Draw: 28.4% · Away win: 18.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sturm Graz 2058; Celje 1956. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 20:00
Sturm Graz
Elo 2058
vs
Celje
Elo 1956
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+102
Elo rating comparison
Sturm Graz2058
Celje1956
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sturm Graz
—Draws
—Celje
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
28%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
45%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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