How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Lugano, at 64.4%. The other outcomes represent 35.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.4% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 13.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Lugano 2088; Kauno Žalgiris 2010. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 20:00
FC Lugano
Elo 2088
vs
Kauno Žalgiris
Elo 2010
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+79
Elo rating comparison
FC Lugano2088
Kauno Žalgiris2010
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Lugano
—Draws
—Kauno Žalgiris
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
64%
Draw
22%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
38%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.