How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bolívar, at 64.3%. The other outcomes represent 35.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.3% · Draw: 16.3% · Away win: 19.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bolívar 1878; Real Potosí 1669. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa de la División Profesional · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 23:00
Bolívar
Elo 1878
vs
Real Potosí
Elo 1669
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+209
H2H (6)
2H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Bolívar1878
Real Potosí1669
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Bolívar
0Draws
4Real Potosí
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
64%
Draw
16%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
36%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.