How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lioli, at 42.1%. The other outcomes represent 57.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.1% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 32.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lioli 1711; Matlama 1759. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:30
Lioli
Elo 1711
0
-
0
Matlama
Elo 1759
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-47
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Lioli1711
Matlama1759
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Lioli
0Draws
2Matlama
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
25%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
45%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.