How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lijabatho, at 56.9%. The other outcomes represent 43.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.4% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 56.9%.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Villa
1
-
3
Lijabatho
Elo 1780
FT
Elo rating comparison
Villa—
Lijabatho1780
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Villa
—Draws
—Lijabatho
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
22%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
34%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.