How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Casa Sport, at 45.7%. The other outcomes represent 54.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.7% · Draw: 31.3% · Away win: 23%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Casa Sport 1551; Wally Daan 1560. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 17:00
Casa Sport
Elo 1551
0
-
2
Wally Daan
Elo 1560
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
5D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-9
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Casa Sport1551
Wally Daan1560
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Casa Sport
2Draws
0Wally Daan
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
31%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
51%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.