How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is San Martin de Yacuiba, at 38.3%. The other outcomes represent 61.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.3% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 35.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: San Martin de Yacuiba 1529; 26 de Febrero 1549. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Nacional B · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 19:00
San Martin de Yacuiba
Elo 1529
2
-
0
26 de Febrero
Elo 1549
FT
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-19
Elo rating comparison
San Martin de Yacuiba1529
26 de Febrero1549
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—San Martin de Yacuiba
—Draws
—26 de Febrero
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
26%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
38%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.