How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Santani, at 58.1%. The other outcomes represent 41.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.9% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 58.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fernando De La Mora 1477; Deportivo Santani 1648. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division Intermedia · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 19:30
Fernando De La Mora
Elo 1477
1
-
3
Deportivo Santani
Elo 1648
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-171
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Fernando De La Mora1477
Deportivo Santani1648
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Fernando De La Mora
0Draws
0Deportivo Santani
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
@ 2.87
Draw
22%
@ 3.08
Away
58%
@ 2.24
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.68
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.32
No
23%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
@ 3.58
Draw
45%
@ 2.09
Away
38%
@ 2.83
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
@ 1.37
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.28
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.92
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.