How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Shahaniya, at 38.5%. The other outcomes represent 61.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.5% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 36.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Shahaniya 1519; Al Ahli Doha 1566. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Stars League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 14:15
Al Shahaniya
Elo 1519
1
-
2
Al Ahli Doha
Elo 1566
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-46
H2H (5)
5H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Shahaniya1519
Al Ahli Doha1566
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Al Shahaniya
0Draws
0Al Ahli Doha
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
38%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.