How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Sadd, at 62.0%. The other outcomes represent 38.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62% · Draw: 17.7% · Away win: 20.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Sadd 1813; Al Shamal 1635. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Stars League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 16:30
Al Sadd
Elo 1813
4
-
1
Al Shamal
Elo 1635
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+177
H2H (5)
5H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Sadd1813
Al Shamal1635
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Al Sadd
0Draws
0Al Shamal
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
18%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
33%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.