How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Gharafa, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.4% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 30.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al-Gharafa 1583; Qatar SC 1575. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Stars League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 16:30
Al-Gharafa
Elo 1583
2
-
0
Qatar SC
Elo 1575
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+7
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Al-Gharafa1583
Qatar SC1575
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Al-Gharafa
0Draws
2Qatar SC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
34%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.