How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SOL, at 40.6%. The other outcomes represent 59.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.6% · Draw: 32.2% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SOL 1521; ES Agboville 1523. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:30
SOL
Elo 1521
1
-
2
ES Agboville
Elo 1523
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-2
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
SOL1521
ES Agboville1523
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0SOL
0Draws
1ES Agboville
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
32%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
41%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.