How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Suhareka, at 52.8%. The other outcomes represent 47.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.8% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 25.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Suhareka 1480; FC Besa Peja 1417. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga E Pare · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:00
Suhareka
Elo 1480
3
-
1
FC Besa Peja
Elo 1417
FT
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+63
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Suhareka1480
FC Besa Peja1417
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Suhareka
0Draws
2FC Besa Peja
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
35%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.