How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bolívar, at 37.0%. The other outcomes represent 63.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37% · Draw: 29.1% · Away win: 33.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bolívar 1490; Petare FC 1553. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 19:30
Bolívar
Elo 1490
0
-
0
Petare FC
Elo 1553
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-63
H2H (7)
6H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Bolívar1490
Petare FC1553
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Bolívar
0Draws
1Petare FC
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.29
Draw
29%
@ 2.99
Away
34%
@ 2.86
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.72
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.32
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.49
No
36%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
@ 2.94
Draw
41%
@ 1.98
Away
31%
@ 3.51
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.39
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
@ 1.31
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 2.03
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.