How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is HNK Hajduk Split, at 53.8%. The other outcomes represent 46.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.9% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 53.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: NK Osijek 1835; HNK Hajduk Split 2095. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
HNL · Sunday, Nov 8 2026
· 14:00
NK Osijek
Elo 1835
vs
HNK Hajduk Split
Elo 2095
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-260
H2H (17)
7H
8D
2A
Elo rating comparison
NK Osijek1835
HNK Hajduk Split2095
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
7NK Osijek
8Draws
2HNK Hajduk Split
17 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
25%
Away
54%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
38%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.