How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CSKA 1948, at 69.8%. The other outcomes represent 30.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.8% · Draw: 17.4% · Away win: 12.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CSKA 1948 1993; Spartak Varna 1783. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 15:00
CSKA 1948
Elo 1993
6
-
1
Spartak Varna
Elo 1783
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+210
H2H (3)
1H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
CSKA 19481993
Spartak Varna1783
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1CSKA 1948
2Draws
0Spartak Varna
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
@ 1.41
Draw
17%
@ 4.34
Away
13%
@ 6.91
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.87
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.08
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
@ 1.87
Draw
37%
@ 2.40
Away
10%
@ 6.64
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.31
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.20
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.71
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.