How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Once Caldas, at 56.0%. The other outcomes represent 44.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 20.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Once Caldas 1697; Águilas Doradas 1628. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Saturday, Nov 7 2026
· 19:00
Once Caldas
Elo 1697
vs
Águilas Doradas
Elo 1628
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+69
H2H (8)
2H
5D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Once Caldas1697
Águilas Doradas1628
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Once Caldas
5Draws
1Águilas Doradas
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
56%
Draw
23%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
41%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.