How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alianza Lima, at 46.7%. The other outcomes represent 53.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.6% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 46.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1579; Alianza Lima 1750. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Sunday, Nov 8 2026
· 18:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Elo 1579
vs
Alianza Lima
Elo 1750
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-171
Elo rating comparison
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1579
Alianza Lima1750
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Club Deportivo Los Chankas
—Draws
—Alianza Lima
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
28%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
40%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.