How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sport Boys, at 53.0%. The other outcomes represent 47.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 24.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sport Boys 1611; UTC Cajamarca 1493. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Sunday, Nov 8 2026
· 20:30
Sport Boys
Elo 1611
vs
UTC Cajamarca
Elo 1493
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+118
H2H (8)
0H
2D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Sport Boys1611
UTC Cajamarca1493
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sport Boys
2Draws
6UTC Cajamarca
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
45%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.