How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportes Tolima, at 39.5%. The other outcomes represent 60.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.5% · Draw: 30.2% · Away win: 30.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportes Tolima 1673; Millonarios 1720. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Saturday, Nov 7 2026
· 21:05
Deportes Tolima
Elo 1673
vs
Millonarios
Elo 1720
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-47
H2H (9)
2H
4D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Deportes Tolima1673
Millonarios1720
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Deportes Tolima
4Draws
3Millonarios
9 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
42%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.