Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira

Primera A · Saturday, 07 Nov 2026 · 23:10

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atletico Nacional, at 74.9%. The other outcomes represent 25.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 74.9% · Draw: 16.8% · Away win: 8.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Atletico Nacional 1835; Deportivo Pereira 1504. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Primera A · Saturday, Nov 7 2026 · 23:10
Atletico Nacional
Elo 1835
vs
Deportivo Pereira
Elo 1504
Home Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Away Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Elo Advantage
+330

Elo rating comparison

Atletico Nacional1835
Deportivo Pereira1504

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Atletico Nacional
—Draws
—Deportivo Pereira

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
75% conf.
Home
75%
Draw
17%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
42%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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