How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Portland Timbers, at 39.2%. The other outcomes represent 60.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.6% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 39.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Austin 1580; Portland Timbers 1644. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Major League Soccer · Sunday, Nov 8 2026
· 00:00
Austin
Elo 1580
vs
Portland Timbers
Elo 1644
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-64
Elo rating comparison
Austin1580
Portland Timbers1644
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Austin
—Draws
—Portland Timbers
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
22%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
39%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.