How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bucaramanga, at 44.5%. The other outcomes represent 55.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.4% · Draw: 26% · Away win: 44.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Jaguares 1502; Bucaramanga 1678. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Sunday, Nov 8 2026
· 21:05
Jaguares
Elo 1502
vs
Bucaramanga
Elo 1678
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-176
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Jaguares1502
Bucaramanga1678
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Jaguares
0Draws
1Bucaramanga
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
26%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
37%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.