How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is São Paulo U20, at 57.3%. The other outcomes represent 42.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.3% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 17.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: São Paulo U20 1896; Ceará U20 1811. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Copa do Brasil U20 · Thursday, Nov 5 2026
· 18:00
São Paulo U20
Elo 1896
vs
Ceará U20
Elo 1811
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+85
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
São Paulo U201896
Ceará U201811
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4São Paulo U20
0Draws
0Ceará U20
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
26%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
39%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.