How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sporting, at 46.3%. The other outcomes represent 53.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.3% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 28.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporting 1656; Bubali 1547. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division di Honor · Monday, Nov 9 2026
· 00:00
Sporting
Elo 1656
vs
Bubali
Elo 1547
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+108
Elo rating comparison
Sporting1656
Bubali1547
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sporting
—Draws
—Bubali
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
34%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.