How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Managua, at 59.0%. The other outcomes represent 41.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.9% · Draw: 19.1% · Away win: 59%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: H&H Export 1541; Managua 1767. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Division · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 21:00
H&H Export
Elo 1541
0
-
3
Managua
Elo 1767
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-226
H2H (5)
0H
0D
5A
Elo rating comparison
H&H Export1541
Managua1767
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0H&H Export
0Draws
5Managua
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
19%
Away
59%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
35%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.