How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Usm El Harrach, at 56.5%. The other outcomes represent 43.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.9% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 56.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Koléa 1407; Usm El Harrach 1716. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 14:00
Koléa
Elo 1407
2
-
1
Usm El Harrach
Elo 1716
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-308
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Koléa1407
Usm El Harrach1716
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Koléa
0Draws
3Usm El Harrach
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
@ 4.52
Draw
24%
@ 3.29
Away
57%
@ 1.71
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 2.04
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
@ 1.14
No
18%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
@ 5.16
Draw
42%
@ 2.01
Away
41%
@ 2.35
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
@ 1.42
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.37
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 2.19
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.