How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Riffa, at 72.2%. The other outcomes represent 27.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.2% · Draw: 14.5% · Away win: 13.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Riffa 1781; Al Najma 1521. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 15:00
Al Riffa
Elo 1781
2
-
2
Al Najma
Elo 1521
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+260
Elo rating comparison
Al Riffa1781
Al Najma1521
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Riffa
—Draws
—Al Najma
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
WRONG
Home
72%
@ 1.33
Draw
15%
@ 4.78
Away
13%
@ 7.06
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.76
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.05
No
7%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
@ 1.73
Draw
28%
@ 2.59
Away
12%
@ 6.61
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.25
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.13
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.49
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 2.26
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.