How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Louisville City, at 57.6%. The other outcomes represent 42.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.6% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 21.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Louisville City 1752; Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1644. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 22:30
Louisville City
Elo 1752
1
-
0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Elo 1644
AET
FT 90' 0-0
ET 1-0
HT 0-0
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+108
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Louisville City1752
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1644
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Louisville City
0Draws
4Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
@ 1.68
Draw
21%
@ 3.47
Away
21%
@ 4.77
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.14
No
16%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
@ 2.30
Draw
45%
@ 2.10
Away
16%
@ 5.22
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.42
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.35
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 2.12
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.