How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Union Omaha, at 59.7%. The other outcomes represent 40.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.7% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 20.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Union Omaha 1663; Chattanooga Red Wolves 1522. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL League One · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 23:00
Union Omaha
Elo 1663
1
-
1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Elo 1522
PEN
FT 90' 1-1
PEN 4-5
HT 0-1
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+141
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Union Omaha1663
Chattanooga Red Wolves1522
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Union Omaha
0Draws
0Chattanooga Red Wolves
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
60%
@ 1.45
Draw
20%
@ 4.18
Away
20%
@ 5.39
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.61
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.11
No
16%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
@ 1.93
Draw
37%
@ 2.41
Away
17%
@ 5.15
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.23
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.14
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.54
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.