How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sacramento Republic, at 63.2%. The other outcomes represent 36.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.2% · Draw: 19.1% · Away win: 17.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sacramento Republic 1680; FC Tulsa 1604. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 02:00
Sacramento Republic
Elo 1680
1
-
0
FC Tulsa
Elo 1604
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+76
H2H (7)
7H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sacramento Republic1680
FC Tulsa1604
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
7Sacramento Republic
0Draws
0FC Tulsa
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
@ 1.55
Draw
19%
@ 3.77
Away
18%
@ 5.33
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.11
No
16%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
@ 2.10
Draw
39%
@ 2.18
Away
19%
@ 5.91
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.39
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.33
No
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.