How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Ahly, at 48.7%. The other outcomes represent 51.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.7% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 28.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Ahly 1993; El Mokawloon 1756. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Cup · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 18:00
Al Ahly
Elo 1993
1
-
0
El Mokawloon
Elo 1756
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+237
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Ahly1993
El Mokawloon1756
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Al Ahly
0Draws
0El Mokawloon
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
23%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
37%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.