How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aurora, at 59.3%. The other outcomes represent 40.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.3% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 19.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aurora 1611; Universitario de Vinto 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026
· 00:30
Aurora
Elo 1611
vs
Universitario de Vinto
Elo 1469
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+142
Elo rating comparison
Aurora1611
Universitario de Vinto1469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Aurora
—Draws
—Universitario de Vinto
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
Home
59%
Draw
21%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
33%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.