How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ulaanbaatar, at 41.4%. The other outcomes represent 58.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.7% · Draw: 18.9% · Away win: 41.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deren 1809; Ulaanbaatar 1892. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026
· 08:00
Deren
Elo 1809
vs
Ulaanbaatar
Elo 1892
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-83
H2H (8)
0H
0D
8A
Elo rating comparison
Deren1809
Ulaanbaatar1892
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Deren
0Draws
8Ulaanbaatar
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
19%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
36%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.