How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vélez Sársfield Res., at 64.3%. The other outcomes represent 35.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.8% · Draw: 17.9% · Away win: 64.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tigre Res. 1404; Vélez Sársfield Res. 1714. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026
· 18:00
Tigre Res.
Elo 1404
vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Elo 1714
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-310
Elo rating comparison
Tigre Res.1404
Vélez Sársfield Res.1714
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tigre Res.
—Draws
—Vélez Sársfield Res.
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
18%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
36%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.