How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Crewe, at 49.2%. The other outcomes represent 50.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.2% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Crewe 1687; Wigan 1653. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
EFL Trophy · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026
· 19:00
Crewe
Elo 1687
vs
Wigan
Elo 1653
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+34
Elo rating comparison
Crewe1687
Wigan1653
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Crewe
—Draws
—Wigan
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
43%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.