How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Notts County, at 45.3%. The other outcomes represent 54.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.2% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 45.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Burton Albion 1680; Notts County 1756. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
EFL Trophy · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026
· 19:00
Burton Albion
Elo 1680
vs
Notts County
Elo 1756
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-77
Elo rating comparison
Burton Albion1680
Notts County1756
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Burton Albion
—Draws
—Notts County
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
25%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.