How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Plymouth, at 53.4%. The other outcomes represent 46.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.4% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 25.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Plymouth 1826; Swindon Town 1658. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
EFL Trophy · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026
· 19:00
Plymouth
Elo 1826
vs
Swindon Town
Elo 1658
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+169
Elo rating comparison
Plymouth1826
Swindon Town1658
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Plymouth
—Draws
—Swindon Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
36%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.