Gloucester City vs Malvern Town

Non League Premier - Southern South · Tuesday, 10 Nov 2026 · 19:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gloucester City, at 66.4%. The other outcomes represent 33.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 66.4% · Draw: 19.4% · Away win: 14.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Gloucester City 1675; Malvern Town 1545. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Non League Premier - Southern South · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026 · 19:45
Gloucester City
Elo 1675
vs
Malvern Town
Elo 1545
Home Form (5)
0W 4D 1L
Away Form (5)
0W 0D 5L
Elo Advantage
+131

Elo rating comparison

Gloucester City1675
Malvern Town1545

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Gloucester City
—Draws
—Malvern Town

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
66% conf.
Home
66%
Draw
19%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
31%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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