How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Firpo, at 56.2%. The other outcomes represent 43.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.1% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 56.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cacahuatique 1498; Firpo 1744. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Division · Tuesday, Nov 10 2026
· 21:30
Cacahuatique
Elo 1498
vs
Firpo
Elo 1744
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-246
Elo rating comparison
Cacahuatique1498
Firpo1744
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cacahuatique
—Draws
—Firpo
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
21%
Away
56%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
38%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.