Quindio vs Real Soacha

Primera B · Thursday, 29 Oct 2026 · 01:05

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Quindio, at 53.7%. The other outcomes represent 46.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 53.7% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 23.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Quindio 1466; Real Soacha 1493. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Primera B · Thursday, Oct 29 2026 · 01:05
Quindio
Elo 1466
2 - 0
Real Soacha
Elo 1493
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Away Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Elo Advantage
-27
H2H (6)
0H 2D 4A

Elo rating comparison

Quindio1466
Real Soacha1493

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Quindio
2Draws
4Real Soacha

6 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
54% conf. CORRECT
Home
54%
@ 1.79
Draw
23%
@ 3.26
Away
23%
@ 4.45
Both Teams to Score
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.16
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf. WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.89
No
43%
Half-Time Result
56% conf. CORRECT
Home
27%
@ 2.44
Draw
56%
@ 1.98
Away
18%
@ 5.03
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf. WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.46
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf. CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.40
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf. CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf. WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.