How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Envigado, at 51.1%. The other outcomes represent 48.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.1% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 24.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Envigado 1505; Ind. Yumbo 1472. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 19:00
Envigado
Elo 1505
2
-
0
Ind. Yumbo
Elo 1472
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+33
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Envigado1505
Ind. Yumbo1472
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Envigado
2Draws
0Ind. Yumbo
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
@ 1.88
Draw
25%
@ 3.20
Away
24%
@ 4.03
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.18
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
@ 2.53
Draw
50%
@ 1.98
Away
20%
@ 4.67
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.45
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.40
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.