How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Djoliba, at 61.6%. The other outcomes represent 38.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.2% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 61.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Diarra 1615; Djoliba 1836. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Première Division · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 16:00
Diarra
Elo 1615
0
-
0
Djoliba
Elo 1836
FT
HT 0-0
Elo rating comparison
Diarra1615
Djoliba1836
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Diarra
—Draws
—Djoliba
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
43%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.