How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 26 de Febrero, at 45.0%. The other outcomes represent 55.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 30.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 26 de Febrero 1536; San Martin de Yacuiba 1542. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Nacional B · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 15:00
26 de Febrero
Elo 1536
1
-
0
San Martin de Yacuiba
Elo 1542
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-7
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
26 de Febrero1536
San Martin de Yacuiba1542
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
026 de Febrero
0Draws
4San Martin de Yacuiba
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
41%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.