How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pompiers, at 61.1%. The other outcomes represent 38.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.1% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 19.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pompiers 1632; Nouakchott King's 1582. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 17:00
Pompiers
Elo 1632
2
-
2
Nouakchott King's
Elo 1582
FT
HT 0-2
Elo rating comparison
Pompiers1632
Nouakchott King's1582
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pompiers
—Draws
—Nouakchott King's
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
@ 1.59
Draw
20%
@ 3.41
Away
19%
@ 4.86
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.88
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.11
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
@ 2.18
Draw
40%
@ 2.08
Away
22%
@ 5.22
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.36
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.30
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.95
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.