How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nouadhibou, at 41.4%. The other outcomes represent 58.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.7% · Draw: 28.9% · Away win: 41.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AC Douane 1670; Nouadhibou 1814. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 19:50
AC Douane
Elo 1670
1
-
2
Nouadhibou
Elo 1814
FT
HT 1-1
Elo rating comparison
AC Douane1670
Nouadhibou1814
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AC Douane
—Draws
—Nouadhibou
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
@ 2.87
Draw
29%
@ 3.03
Away
41%
@ 2.32
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.93
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.47
No
42%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.32
No
26%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
@ 3.64
Draw
38%
@ 1.94
Away
34%
@ 3.07
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.46
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.40
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 2.29
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.