How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Waterhouse, at 40.2%. The other outcomes represent 59.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.2% · Draw: 31.6% · Away win: 28.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Waterhouse 1697; Cavalier 1661. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 01:00
Waterhouse
Elo 1697
2
-
1
Cavalier
Elo 1661
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+36
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Waterhouse1697
Cavalier1661
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Waterhouse
0Draws
1Cavalier
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
32%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
40%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.