How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Denmark U21, at 41.6%. The other outcomes represent 58.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.9% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 41.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Austria U21 1581; Denmark U21 1672. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 16:00
Austria U21
Elo 1581
vs
Denmark U21
Elo 1672
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-91
Elo rating comparison
Austria U211581
Denmark U211672
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Austria U21
—Draws
—Denmark U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
27%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
41%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.